Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.775559 4.388417 5.037104 5.771710 6.577355 7.430983 8.400752
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.774088 3.597976 4.533081 5.659576 6.966454 8.422086 10.152991
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.121533 3.058368 4.193204 5.636986 7.393011 9.429176 11.937620
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.629211 2.610732 3.877121 5.571281 7.719528 10.297166 13.566757
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.379859 2.424640 3.846449 5.827291 8.421907 11.616678 15.757295
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.116402 2.165936 3.675884 5.866717 8.828105 12.564702 17.505168
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.982181 2.071394 3.711444 6.168522 9.570902 13.943395 19.810379
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.856173 1.964577 3.710074 6.406186 10.224293 15.213964 21.998489
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.722432 1.817854 3.627170 6.511025 10.688165 16.238155 23.882820
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.580515 1.625858 3.447657 6.452164 10.909342 16.934376 25.344464
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.495488 1.523838 3.399328 6.579920 11.389377 17.979390 27.273709
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.422149 1.428879 3.349768 6.696197 11.848665 18.998502 29.179046
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.324930 1.258439 3.152060 6.569209 11.953598 19.545261 30.484249
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.242219 1.094586 2.943314 6.405010 11.990066 19.991801 31.658686
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.186951 0.981258 2.814013 6.360191 12.199895 20.681468 33.171727
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.139779 0.870080 2.671820 6.278949 12.343932 21.273954 34.555057
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.124238 0.855517 2.729420 6.551960 13.051669 22.691793 37.104047
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.097455 0.787782 2.661879 6.592287 13.385596 23.567700 38.904586
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.089092 0.788561 2.747963 6.918040 14.187368 25.142397 41.707149
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.078349 0.774230 2.796746 7.174608 14.880822 26.566098 44.311967
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.063338 0.731224 2.771528 7.287675 15.338820 27.644876 46.438229
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.045364 0.657364 2.659224 7.223881 15.497599 28.275010 47.928854
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.036456 0.626413 2.651032 7.361926 15.996128 29.421866 50.170995